Mount Pleasant vs Waterhouse analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.1%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
21.9%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14.7%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-7%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
4º
1º
40
3º
14º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mount Pleasant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
MON
1 - 2
MPA
16%
23%
61%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2023 |
TRI
0 - 1
MPA
31%
26%
43%
|
72 | 64 | 8 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
MPA
2 - 0
HAR
60%
24%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2023 |
MOL
1 - 3
MPA
32%
25%
43%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
MPA
3 - 0
DFC
52%
25%
23%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Waterhouse
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2023 |
WAT
0 - 1
LIO
49%
27%
24%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2023 |
ARN
1 - 0
WAT
54%
25%
22%
|
70 | 71 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2023 |
WAT
4 - 1
VER
57%
25%
18%
|
69 | 57 | 12 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 1
WAT
51%
27%
22%
|
69 | 72 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
LIM
1 - 3
WAT
16%
23%
62%
|
68 | 9 | 59 | +1 |