Mount Pleasant vs Tivoli Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.9%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.2%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
27%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
6º
1º
27
6º
14º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 83 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 79 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 70 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 68 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 64 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 57 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
|
8º
|
27 | 55 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 47 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 45 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 42 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 40 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 31 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
14º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
93.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
6.5% | 47.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 52.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mount Pleasant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
MPA
0 - 0
WAT
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
CAV
2 - 2
MPA
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 1
MPA
46%
25%
29%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2024 |
MPA
4 - 0
RUF
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 9 | 61 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
POR
0 - 2
MPA
34%
29%
38%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Tivoli Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 0
MOL
66%
21%
14%
|
67 | 52 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
TRI
1 - 0
RUF
73%
17%
10%
|
67 | 8 | 59 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2024 |
TRI
0 - 1
WAT
49%
26%
26%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2024 |
POR
2 - 1
TRI
33%
28%
39%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LIO
0 - 0
TRI
29%
26%
44%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |