Mount Pleasant vs Molynes United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.7%
2-0
14.2%
3-1
6%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
20%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
20%
11.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+10%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
6º
1º
23
8º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 83 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 79 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 70 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 68 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 64 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 57 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 55 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 47 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
23 | 45 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 42 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 40 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 31 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
14º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
93.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
6.5% | 3% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 93.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mount Pleasant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2024 |
VER
0 - 6
MPA
15%
23%
61%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2024 |
MPA
3 - 0
MON
55%
25%
20%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2024 |
CMF
1 - 1
MPA
29%
26%
45%
|
71 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2024 |
MPA
3 - 1
HAR
60%
24%
16%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
DFC
3 - 2
MPA
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Molynes United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Nov. 2024 |
MOL
2 - 1
RUF
85%
10%
5%
|
53 | 12 | 41 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2024 |
DFC
0 - 2
MOL
74%
17%
10%
|
51 | 66 | 15 | +2 |
| 11 Nov. 2024 |
MOL
1 - 3
WAT
27%
26%
48%
|
52 | 68 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
POR
4 - 0
MOL
59%
25%
16%
|
53 | 69 | 16 | -1 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MOL
0 - 1
LIO
40%
26%
35%
|
54 | 62 | 8 | -1 |