Mount Pleasant vs Harbour View analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.8%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.6%
1-0
14.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
16.3%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.7%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
6º
1º
19
3º
14º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 83 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 79 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 70 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 68 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 64 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 57 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 55 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 47 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 45 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 42 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 40 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 31 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
14º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
93.5% | 0% |
|
Next round
|
6.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 67% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 33% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mount Pleasant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
DFC
3 - 2
MPA
38%
26%
36%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
MPA
1 - 0
TRI
47%
26%
27%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Oct. 2024 |
MPA
0 - 0
WAT
50%
26%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2024 |
CAV
2 - 2
MPA
43%
27%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 1
MPA
46%
25%
29%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Harbour View
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2024 |
HAR
3 - 1
RUF
75%
16%
9%
|
60 | 10 | 50 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
DFC
1 - 0
HAR
61%
22%
17%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
WAT
1 - 0
HAR
52%
26%
22%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 2
POR
31%
27%
42%
|
62 | 69 | 7 | -1 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
LIO
1 - 1
HAR
43%
27%
30%
|
62 | 63 | 1 | 0 |