Mount Pleasant vs Dunbeholden analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47.9%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
25.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+16%
-11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
6º
3º
38
3º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 9% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 91% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mount Pleasant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MPA
1 - 0
LIO
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2023 |
CMF
0 - 3
MPA
30%
27%
44%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2023 |
MPA
0 - 0
VER
61%
24%
15%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2023 |
ARN
3 - 2
MPA
39%
26%
35%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2023 |
MPA
5 - 1
MON
68%
21%
11%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Dunbeholden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
DFC
0 - 0
CMF
58%
24%
18%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2023 |
VER
0 - 1
DFC
23%
28%
48%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
DFC
4 - 2
ARN
39%
26%
35%
|
67 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MON
0 - 2
DFC
23%
26%
51%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | +1 |
| 02 Jan. 2023 |
DFC
0 - 1
MOL
64%
22%
14%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | -1 |