Mount Pleasant vs Cavalier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30.8%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
4º
1º
54
1º
7º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
59 | 59 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
54 | 54 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 49 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 43 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
85% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
85% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
7 | 7 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Next round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mount Pleasant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 1
MPA
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MPA
1 - 1
MON
65%
22%
13%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
MPA
1 - 0
TRI
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2024 |
HAR
1 - 2
MPA
32%
27%
41%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
MPA
1 - 1
MOL
63%
22%
15%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2024 |
ARN
2 - 2
CAV
48%
26%
26%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2024 |
CAV
1 - 1
LIO
55%
26%
19%
|
70 | 63 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2024 |
CIN
4 - 0
CAV
78%
14%
8%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
CAV
0 - 2
CIN
14%
21%
65%
|
71 | 85 | 14 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
CAV
2 - 0
VER
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |