Mount Pleasant vs Cavalier analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.9%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.5%
30.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
46
1º
6º
3º
49
1º
11º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 55 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 50 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
46 | 47 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
43 | 46 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 42 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 42 |
6º
|
44.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
61% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 38 |
8º
|
70% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 27 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
22 | 22 |
11º
|
86.5% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
86.5% | |
|
14º
|
9 | 15 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
13 | 13 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 100% |
|
Play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mount Pleasant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
TRI
0 - 2
MPA
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MPA
0 - 0
HAR
57%
25%
18%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
FSC
0 - 0
MPA
30%
27%
44%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MPA
3 - 0
DFC
48%
27%
26%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2023 |
MPA
1 - 0
LIO
53%
26%
21%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Cavalier
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
CAV
4 - 1
CMF
53%
27%
20%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2023 |
CAV
1 - 0
VER
56%
26%
18%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
ARN
2 - 1
CAV
42%
27%
32%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
CAV
0 - 0
MON
68%
21%
11%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
MOL
0 - 2
CAV
28%
26%
46%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | 0 |