Mount Pleasant vs Arnett Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
32.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.1%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+11%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
1º
6º
1º
45
1º
9º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
52 | 83 |
1º
|
68.5% | |
|
|
2º
|
45 | 79 |
2º
|
56% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 70 |
3º
|
40% | |
|
5º
|
37 | 68 |
4º
|
31% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 64 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
34 | 57 |
6º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 55 |
7º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
22 | 47 |
8º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
23 | 45 |
9º
|
27% | |
|
11º
|
20 | 42 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 40 |
11º
|
25% | |
|
12º
|
19 | 38 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
14º
|
14 | 31 |
13º
|
27% | |
|
13º
|
17 | 30 |
14º
|
42.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
93.5% | 81.5% |
|
Next round
|
6.5% | 18.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mount Pleasant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2025 |
RUF
2 - 3
MPA
18%
23%
59%
|
71 | 14 | 57 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MPA
4 - 0
DFC
57%
24%
19%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 3
MPA
31%
27%
42%
|
71 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
MPA
1 - 0
POR
49%
26%
24%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2024 |
LIO
1 - 4
MPA
19%
24%
57%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2025 |
ARN
1 - 0
MON
60%
23%
18%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
RUF
0 - 2
ARN
18%
24%
58%
|
70 | 14 | 56 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 1
CMF
64%
21%
16%
|
71 | 53 | 18 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
DFC
0 - 1
ARN
35%
25%
40%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Dec. 2024 |
ARN
1 - 2
CAV
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |