Premier League Semi-finals
Global 5-3
Mount Pleasant vs Arnett Gardens analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
34.1%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mount Pleasant
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 May. 2023 |
MPA
3 - 0
DFC
46%
27%
28%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2023 |
DFC
1 - 1
MPA
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2023 |
DFC
3 - 1
MPA
43%
26%
31%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
LIO
1 - 1
MPA
32%
29%
39%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2023 |
MPA
7 - 0
CMF
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | +1 |
Matches
Arnett Gardens
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2023 |
ARN
4 - 1
TRI
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2023 |
ARN
3 - 0
HAR
54%
25%
21%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2023 |
FSC
0 - 2
ARN
24%
25%
51%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2023 |
ARN
1 - 0
DFC
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2023 |
MPA
0 - 0
ARN
36%
27%
38%
|
71 | 69 | 2 | 0 |