Mt Druitt Town vs Heidelberg Utd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.9%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.8%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.5%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.9%
56.3%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
17.2%
0-3
5.6%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.6%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mt Druitt Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2023 |
MDT
0 - 5
WOL
19%
20%
61%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
WSW
2 - 1
MDT
59%
19%
22%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | -1 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
MDT
1 - 2
MAR
16%
21%
63%
|
27 | 44 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Aug. 2023 |
SUT
1 - 1
MDT
46%
24%
30%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2023 |
MDT
3 - 1
CAN
14%
18%
68%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | +3 |
Matches
Heidelberg Utd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
HEU
3 - 2
MEL
36%
23%
40%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2023 |
HEU
2 - 1
SOU
14%
22%
65%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +4 |
| 13 Aug. 2023 |
GRE
1 - 2
HEU
58%
20%
22%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2023 |
MOR
0 - 3
HEU
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 36 | 10 | +2 |
| 29 Jul. 2023 |
MCF
2 - 1
HEU
11%
15%
74%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | -1 |