Mt Druitt Town vs Bulls Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.5%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.7%
6-0
3%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4%
5-0
5.8%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8%
4-0
9.2%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.6%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
9.8%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.6%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.8%
4.6%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
23
10º
16º
15º
15
13º
16º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 65 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
57 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
46 | 46 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
39 | 39 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 33 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 31 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
23 | 23 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Final Series
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mt Druitt Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2023 |
MDT
1 - 0
SYD
20%
19%
61%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
MDT
1 - 2
SYD
20%
19%
61%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2023 |
WOL
0 - 0
MDT
64%
19%
18%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
MDT
2 - 1
WSW
49%
21%
30%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 1
MDT
81%
13%
6%
|
25 | 46 | 21 | +1 |
Matches
Bulls Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2023 |
CCM
4 - 2
BUA
82%
12%
6%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2023 |
BUA
1 - 2
NWS
31%
22%
47%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
MAN
3 - 2
BUA
85%
11%
5%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2023 |
BUA
1 - 2
SUT
14%
18%
69%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2023 |
BLA
4 - 1
BUA
91%
7%
2%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | 0 |