Mouloudia Oujda vs Wydad Fès analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
18.4%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.7%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
14
15º
16º
15º
19
5º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
25 | 25 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
25 | 25 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
24 | 24 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
24 | 24 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
23 | 23 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
22 | 22 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
22 | 22 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
19 | 19 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
19 | 19 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
16 | 16 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
16 | 16 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
13º
|
15 | 15 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
15 | 15 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
15 | 15 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
|
15º
|
14 | 14 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
13 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mouloudia Oujda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
JSM
1 - 0
MOU
42%
27%
31%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
YAM
3 - 1
MOU
20%
26%
53%
|
70 | 8 | 62 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2024 |
RCA
4 - 3
MOU
51%
24%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2024 |
MOU
0 - 3
RCA
45%
27%
28%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Jun. 2024 |
FUR
0 - 0
MOU
41%
29%
30%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Wydad Fès
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
WYD
3 - 1
CHA
37%
28%
35%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
YOU
1 - 0
WYD
51%
27%
22%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Jun. 2024 |
WYD
1 - 0
ASS
44%
26%
30%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2024 |
USM
1 - 0
WYD
57%
26%
18%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2024 |
WYD
1 - 2
CHA
38%
29%
34%
|
63 | 67 | 4 | 0 |