Moulins vs Thonon Évian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.5%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
10.9%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
63.8%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.3%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.7%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moulins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
AIN
2 - 2
MOU
77%
14%
9%
|
19 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
MOU
3 - 0
VEL
52%
21%
27%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
HAL
4 - 1
MOU
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
MOU
0 - 0
LDU
30%
23%
47%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
AUR
4 - 1
MOU
67%
19%
14%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Thonon Évian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
LDU
0 - 2
THO
30%
22%
49%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
THO
3 - 3
AUR
66%
18%
16%
|
32 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
CLE
1 - 3
THO
37%
22%
41%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
THO
2 - 3
LIM
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
VAU
0 - 4
THO
31%
22%
47%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | +2 |