Moulins vs Épinal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.2%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.2%
46.5%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moulins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SAR
0 - 0
MOU
38%
27%
35%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
MOU
1 - 3
VIL
62%
21%
17%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2013 |
NAN
3 - 2
MOU
28%
28%
44%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
MOU
1 - 0
UJA
64%
21%
15%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
MOU
0 - 0
JUR
69%
18%
12%
|
49 | 38 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Épinal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2013 |
SPI
2 - 0
VIL
71%
18%
11%
|
57 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2013 |
FCR
2 - 1
SPI
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2013 |
SPI
2 - 1
RED
51%
25%
24%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
COL
1 - 2
SPI
48%
27%
25%
|
55 | 59 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
SPI
3 - 2
BOU
55%
24%
21%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | 0 |