Moulins vs Nice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.4%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
3%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
9.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
10%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
22.4%
65.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
16.5%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
27%
0-2
14.5%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
20.4%
0-3
8.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
11.1%
0-4
3.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2003 |
NIC
2 - 0
GUI
38%
27%
35%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2003 |
NIC
1 - 0
MET
47%
28%
25%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2003 |
TFC
1 - 1
NIC
37%
28%
36%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2003 |
NIC
2 - 1
MPL
40%
28%
33%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2003 |
NIC
1 - 1
MET
43%
29%
29%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |