Moulins vs Montceau analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.4%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
14.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moulins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
DRA
2 - 1
MOU
24%
26%
50%
|
50 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
STM
3 - 1
MOU
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -3 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
MOU
3 - 1
AUB
61%
22%
17%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
SAE
0 - 1
MOU
33%
26%
41%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
VIE
1 - 2
MOU
20%
24%
57%
|
51 | 27 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Montceau
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
MON
1 - 0
SAE
44%
26%
31%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
SOC
4 - 1
MON
42%
25%
33%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | -3 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
MON
1 - 2
BEL
34%
26%
40%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2014 |
MON
0 - 3
ASN
8%
18%
74%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
RAO
2 - 3
MON
55%
22%
23%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +1 |