Moulins vs Istres analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.3%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.6%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
60.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moulins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2005 |
CHE
2 - 1
MOU
74%
17%
9%
|
48 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2005 |
CHA
2 - 1
MOU
50%
23%
27%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 2005 |
MOU
3 - 1
ROM
32%
28%
40%
|
47 | 62 | 15 | +2 |
| 10 Nov. 2005 |
PAU
2 - 1
MOU
59%
23%
18%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
MOU
2 - 1
ANG
23%
29%
48%
|
47 | 65 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Istres
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jan. 2006 |
GUI
2 - 0
IST
63%
22%
15%
|
68 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2005 |
IST
1 - 1
LHA
42%
29%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2005 |
REI
0 - 0
IST
39%
28%
34%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2005 |
IST
1 - 4
VAL
35%
28%
37%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2005 |
LUS
4 - 1
IST
49%
26%
25%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |