Moulins vs Creteil analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.8%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.3%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
26.4%
51.8%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
14.3%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moulins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2010 |
CAN
1 - 1
MOU
71%
19%
10%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2010 |
MOU
1 - 0
HYE
49%
26%
26%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2010 |
FCR
2 - 1
MOU
55%
26%
20%
|
48 | 54 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
MOU
0 - 2
BAY
44%
27%
29%
|
49 | 54 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
FRE
1 - 1
MOU
73%
18%
10%
|
49 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Creteil
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2010 |
PAC
1 - 2
LUS
33%
29%
39%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2010 |
LUS
3 - 0
LUZ
58%
25%
17%
|
66 | 56 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Jan. 2010 |
LUS
0 - 1
REI
44%
29%
27%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
PFC
2 - 1
LUS
39%
27%
34%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
LUS
2 - 0
CSL
68%
21%
10%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | +1 |