Moulins vs Chamalières analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.8%
Win probability
3.16
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.1%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
5.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.1%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.7%
3-0
11.8%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
9.7%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
4.5%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
9.7%
4.5%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moulins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
AIN
1 - 0
MOU
19%
21%
60%
|
41 | 26 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MOU
1 - 2
AUR
84%
12%
5%
|
42 | 25 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
VAU
0 - 0
MOU
13%
21%
66%
|
43 | 23 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Aug. 2018 |
MOU
0 - 1
RVA
55%
23%
22%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
LIM
2 - 2
MOU
12%
18%
70%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Chamalières
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2018 |
CHA
0 - 0
LDU
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2018 |
MON
1 - 2
CHA
55%
21%
24%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Sep. 2018 |
AIN
2 - 1
CHA
67%
18%
16%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2018 |
CHA
2 - 0
AUR
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 27 | 6 | +2 |
| 18 Aug. 2018 |
VAU
1 - 2
CHA
58%
21%
21%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | +1 |