Moulins vs Caen II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
19.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moulins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
STA
1 - 1
MOU
20%
25%
55%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
MOU
1 - 1
LAV
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
LUC
0 - 1
MOU
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2011 |
YZE
0 - 0
MOU
43%
26%
31%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
MOU
0 - 2
LEM
58%
24%
19%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Caen II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 0
AVR
55%
24%
21%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
CHE
0 - 2
CAE
56%
24%
20%
|
44 | 50 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2011 |
STA
0 - 1
CAE
38%
26%
36%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2011 |
CAE
3 - 1
STP
34%
25%
42%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | +2 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
CAE
1 - 1
LUC
34%
26%
41%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |