Moulins vs Belfort analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.1%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.1%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
17.6%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moulins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SAR
0 - 0
MOU
32%
26%
42%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
YZE
0 - 0
MOU
38%
27%
35%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
MOU
3 - 0
AMN
59%
22%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
FCM
0 - 0
MOU
49%
25%
26%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
MOU
1 - 1
NAN
55%
23%
22%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Belfort
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 2
MET
41%
27%
31%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
SOC
1 - 1
BEL
52%
25%
23%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2012 |
BEL
0 - 0
VIL
51%
24%
25%
|
46 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2012 |
JUR
1 - 1
BEL
32%
28%
40%
|
47 | 38 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2012 |
BEL
2 - 0
SAR
64%
21%
16%
|
46 | 36 | 10 | +1 |