Moulins vs Avranches analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.9%
Win probability
2.07
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
12.6%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moulins
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
LPS
0 - 0
MOU
42%
27%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
MOU
1 - 1
CAE
57%
23%
19%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
STA
1 - 1
MOU
20%
25%
55%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2011 |
MOU
1 - 1
LAV
54%
25%
21%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2011 |
LUC
0 - 1
MOU
33%
28%
39%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Avranches
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
AVR
1 - 1
CHE
30%
27%
42%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2011 |
AVR
0 - 1
LUC
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2011 |
AVR
0 - 0
LPS
31%
27%
42%
|
41 | 50 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2011 |
CAE
1 - 0
AVR
55%
24%
21%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2011 |
AVR
1 - 3
STP
44%
25%
31%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | -1 |