Moudania vs Aris Pigon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.2%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.4%
30.4%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-88%
+190%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
10º
18º
18º
12
9º
17º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
17º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
52 | 78 |
1º
|
46.5% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 77 |
2º
|
34% | |
|
2º
|
49 | 73 |
3º
|
43% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 66 |
4º
|
43% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 64 |
5º
|
37% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 61 |
6º
|
45% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 53 |
7º
|
44.5% | |
|
10º
|
27 | 48 |
8º
|
31% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 46 |
9º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 45 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
16º
|
12 | 39 |
11º
|
22% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 38 |
12º
|
18% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 37 |
13º
|
21.5% | |
|
12º
|
21 | 36 |
14º
|
23.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
23.5% | |
|
15º
|
14 | 25 |
16º
|
55% | |
|
|
17º
|
12 | 20 |
17º
|
67% | |
|
|
18º
|
0 | 10 |
18º
|
89.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moudania
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
MOU
0 - 3
ASM
24%
22%
54%
|
13 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
AKV
3 - 0
MOU
80%
12%
8%
|
13 | 43 | 30 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
MOU
0 - 3
APP
17%
20%
63%
|
14 | 33 | 19 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
MOU
0 - 3
THT
19%
21%
60%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | -1 |
| 22 Dec. 2024 |
PNM
10 - 0
MOU
78%
14%
9%
|
15 | 45 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Aris Pigon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2025 |
ARI
0 - 3
AKV
12%
17%
71%
|
14 | 43 | 29 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2025 |
APP
2 - 0
ARI
74%
16%
10%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2025 |
ARI
0 - 3
AEE
18%
20%
62%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2025 |
THT
3 - 0
ARI
72%
17%
11%
|
15 | 37 | 22 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2025 |
ARI
0 - 1
PNM
15%
19%
66%
|
16 | 45 | 29 | -1 |