Mötz / Silz vs Swarovski Tirol II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.6%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
2.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
0.1%
+2
7.3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
13.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.8%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
54.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
5.3%
3-4
1.6%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
16.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
1.4%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
5%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0.1%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-44%
+44%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
1º
6º
3º
25
7º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
45 | 45 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 45 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
36 | 36 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 36 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 33 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
32 | 32 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 26 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
25 | 25 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
19 | 19 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 8 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mötz / Silz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2022 |
MOT
4 - 1
FCV
81%
12%
7%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jun. 2022 |
MOT
6 - 0
FCK
79%
13%
8%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jun. 2022 |
EBB
3 - 0
MOT
26%
21%
53%
|
26 | 20 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
KIR
0 - 0
MOT
18%
19%
64%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2022 |
MOT
2 - 0
STJ
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Swarovski Tirol II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jun. 2022 |
WAT
3 - 1
SVI
72%
16%
12%
|
33 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2022 |
HAL
1 - 0
WAT
35%
21%
43%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
WAT
3 - 0
FUG
53%
21%
26%
|
33 | 30 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 May. 2022 |
FCW
4 - 5
WAT
49%
21%
30%
|
32 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
FUG
2 - 2
WAT
45%
21%
34%
|
32 | 33 | 1 | 0 |