Mötz / Silz vs Kirchbichl analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.6%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
3%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.7%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
5.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
22.5%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.5%
55.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.6%
0-2
9.2%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.7%
1-4
2.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mötz / Silz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
WAT
3 - 1
MOT
54%
21%
25%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
UNI
3 - 3
MOT
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
MOT
0 - 2
SVI
46%
23%
31%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
MOT
4 - 0
VOL
60%
21%
19%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
JEN
1 - 6
MOT
23%
22%
55%
|
18 | 12 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Kirchbichl
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
KIR
4 - 1
SVI
68%
17%
15%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2016 |
VOL
0 - 0
KIR
16%
20%
65%
|
25 | 15 | 10 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
KIR
2 - 0
JEN
91%
7%
2%
|
25 | 11 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2015 |
KIR
3 - 1
TEL
68%
18%
14%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2015 |
WOR
2 - 2
KIR
82%
12%
7%
|
24 | 44 | 20 | +1 |