CF Motril vs FC Málaga City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.9
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.5%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
8.4%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.9%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
9º
15º
9º
25
8º
15º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
72 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
68 | 68 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
63 | 63 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 55 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
45 | 45 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
41 | 41 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
38 | 38 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
|
14º
|
25 | 25 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
21 | 21 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
5 | 5 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CF Motril
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
MOT
1 - 4
MAR
21%
22%
57%
|
27 | 41 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
RJA
1 - 0
MOT
70%
18%
13%
|
27 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
HUE
2 - 3
MOT
62%
20%
18%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 10 Dec. 2022 |
MOT
0 - 1
CHM
90%
7%
3%
|
27 | 10 | 17 | -1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
ALM
0 - 0
MOT
62%
21%
18%
|
27 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
FC Málaga City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jan. 2023 |
CDM
0 - 1
CDT
16%
21%
63%
|
18 | 31 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2023 |
MAR
3 - 0
CDM
89%
8%
3%
|
18 | 41 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2022 |
TOR
2 - 1
CDM
80%
13%
8%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 0
RJA
17%
22%
61%
|
17 | 34 | 17 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2022 |
CDM
0 - 0
HUE
19%
22%
60%
|
17 | 28 | 11 | 0 |