Motril CF vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.6%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.1%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.6%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
10%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
27.8%
44.6%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2003 |
MAL
3 - 0
MOT
72%
17%
11%
|
41 | 55 | 14 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2003 |
MOT
2 - 2
ALG
34%
31%
35%
|
40 | 57 | 17 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
BET
3 - 0
MOT
62%
22%
16%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2003 |
MOT
0 - 2
CAD
32%
30%
38%
|
42 | 57 | 15 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
JER
3 - 0
MOT
55%
26%
19%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2003 |
RJA
0 - 3
AGD
44%
28%
28%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2003 |
MEL
1 - 2
RJA
37%
30%
33%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2003 |
RJA
1 - 0
MER
50%
27%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
CIU
2 - 1
RJA
54%
26%
20%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2003 |
RJA
2 - 3
EXT
31%
29%
40%
|
54 | 64 | 10 | 0 |