Motril CF vs UD Melilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
14.4%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.2%
Win probability
0.69
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
MER
4 - 1
MOT
42%
29%
30%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
MOT
0 - 2
CIU
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2002 |
MOT
1 - 1
CDB
38%
29%
34%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2002 |
EXT
2 - 1
MOT
64%
23%
13%
|
55 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
MOT
1 - 2
ECI
63%
22%
15%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
UD Melilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
MEL
0 - 2
AGD
27%
29%
44%
|
45 | 59 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
CAR
2 - 0
MEL
48%
28%
24%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
MER
0 - 0
MEL
55%
26%
19%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
MEL
0 - 3
CIU
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2002 |
MEL
4 - 0
CAR
46%
28%
26%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +1 |