Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 0-2
Motril CF vs Lorca CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.3%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.3%
18.2%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
MME
1 - 1
MOT
63%
23%
15%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
BAE
0 - 1
MOT
25%
28%
47%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
MOT
1 - 1
CDL
62%
23%
15%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
MOT
1 - 0
MAR
67%
21%
12%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1997 |
MAL
0 - 1
MOT
45%
26%
28%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Lorca CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1997 |
MAL
1 - 0
LOR
72%
19%
9%
|
35 | 62 | 27 | 0 |
| 18 May. 1997 |
LOR
4 - 2
COT
88%
10%
3%
|
35 | 18 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 May. 1997 |
BUL
3 - 0
LOR
20%
26%
54%
|
38 | 21 | 17 | -3 |
| 04 May. 1997 |
LOR
3 - 2
UDL
83%
12%
5%
|
38 | 14 | 24 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 1997 |
IND
1 - 2
LOR
19%
26%
55%
|
37 | 20 | 17 | +1 |