Motril CF vs Arenas de Armilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
19.5%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motril CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 0
MOT
43%
26%
31%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2012 |
MOT
1 - 2
MAR
58%
24%
18%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
PAL
2 - 1
MOT
63%
20%
18%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MOT
0 - 0
MAR
36%
26%
37%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
MAL
2 - 0
MOT
72%
17%
11%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Arenas de Armilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
ARE
2 - 1
ALH
26%
26%
48%
|
23 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2012 |
CAR
0 - 3
ARE
12%
21%
68%
|
23 | 6 | 17 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2012 |
ARE
1 - 2
RON
33%
27%
40%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MAN
1 - 0
ARE
66%
21%
13%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
ARE
0 - 1
VEL
59%
23%
18%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | -1 |