Motor Lublin vs Znicz Pruszkow analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.1%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
27.2%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.2%
37.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motor Lublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2014 |
OLI
4 - 1
MOT
51%
25%
24%
|
37 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
MOT
0 - 1
STA
51%
24%
25%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
WIS
3 - 1
MOT
55%
23%
23%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
MOT
2 - 2
PEL
42%
26%
32%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2014 |
MOT
4 - 1
LIM
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | +3 |
Matches
Znicz Pruszkow
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2014 |
ZNI
0 - 1
LIM
62%
21%
18%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2014 |
RAD
1 - 2
ZNI
41%
28%
32%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
ZNI
4 - 0
SWI
74%
17%
9%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | +1 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
STA
2 - 0
ZNI
35%
29%
36%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | -2 |
| 02 May. 2014 |
ZNI
2 - 0
CON
69%
19%
12%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | +1 |