Motor Lublin vs Widzew Łódź analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.7%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
31.7%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
7º
17º
9º
25
3º
11º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 63 |
1º
|
47.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 59 |
2º
|
27.5% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 56 |
3º
|
13.5% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 54 |
4º
|
15.5% | |
|
6º
|
32 | 54 |
5º
|
12% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 52 |
6º
|
13% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 52 |
7º
|
9% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
11.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 48 |
9º
|
13.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 47 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 47 |
11º
|
10.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 40 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
14º
|
19 | 38 |
14º
|
15.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
14.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
16º
|
15.5% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 36 |
17º
|
24.5% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 30 |
18º
|
64.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 0.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
7.5% | 4% |
|
Mid-table
|
89.5% | 91% |
|
Relegation
|
2.5% | 4.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motor Lublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
LPO
1 - 2
MOT
47%
27%
26%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2024 |
USK
1 - 1
MOT
13%
21%
66%
|
77 | 52 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
MOT
2 - 1
SLA
41%
27%
32%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 2
JAG
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
STA
1 - 0
MOT
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Widzew Łódź
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
WLO
0 - 1
KOR
49%
25%
26%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2024 |
GDA
1 - 1
WLO
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2024 |
TKP
1 - 3
WLO
7%
16%
77%
|
78 | 51 | 27 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
WLO
1 - 0
PGL
51%
26%
24%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
GKS
2 - 2
WLO
43%
26%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |