Motor Lublin vs Warta Poznan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.6%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.3%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.4%
29%
Draw
0-0
11.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29%
40%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.2%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22.8%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motor Lublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2009 |
FLO
2 - 0
MOT
60%
23%
17%
|
49 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
GOR
6 - 1
MOT
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
MOT
0 - 2
DOL
35%
29%
36%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
FLO
1 - 1
MOT
56%
24%
20%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
MOT
1 - 2
ZAL
14%
23%
63%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Warta Poznan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2009 |
GOR
2 - 0
WAR
64%
21%
15%
|
56 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2009 |
WAR
1 - 2
GOR
71%
18%
11%
|
56 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
DOL
1 - 0
WAR
41%
27%
32%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2009 |
WAR
3 - 1
FLO
49%
25%
26%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2009 |
ZAL
1 - 2
WAR
77%
16%
7%
|
55 | 71 | 16 | +1 |