Motor Lublin vs Swit Nowy Dwor analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.8%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
22.4%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-48%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motor Lublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
STA
2 - 2
MOT
53%
25%
23%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
MOT
1 - 1
CON
55%
23%
22%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
POG
2 - 1
MOT
65%
20%
16%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MOT
1 - 3
SIA
38%
26%
37%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
WIG
2 - 1
MOT
52%
24%
25%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Swit Nowy Dwor
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SWI
3 - 3
LIM
28%
26%
46%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
RAD
1 - 0
SWI
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2014 |
SWI
0 - 2
PEL
32%
28%
39%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SWI
0 - 1
STA
33%
27%
40%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CON
0 - 0
SWI
26%
26%
49%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |