Motor Lublin vs Śląsk Wrocław analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.1%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
31.8%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
29
7º
17º
9º
11
11º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
41 | 60 |
1º
|
40.5% | |
|
2º
|
38 | 59 |
2º
|
31% | |
|
3º
|
37 | 56 |
3º
|
18.5% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 54 |
4º
|
16% | |
|
5º
|
33 | 52 |
5º
|
9.5% | |
|
6º
|
33 | 52 |
6º
|
11% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 50 |
7º
|
10% | |
|
8º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
12% | |
|
|
9º
|
29 | 48 |
9º
|
12.5% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 47 |
10º
|
12% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 44 |
11º
|
10% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 41 |
12º
|
13.5% | |
|
13º
|
22 | 41 |
13º
|
11% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 40 |
14º
|
12.5% | |
|
15º
|
19 | 38 |
15º
|
18% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 38 |
16º
|
14% | |
|
17º
|
15 | 37 |
17º
|
22% | |
|
|
18º
|
11 | 30 |
18º
|
60% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0.5% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
3.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
95% | 8% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 92% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motor Lublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 2
JAG
38%
26%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
STA
1 - 0
MOT
43%
28%
29%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 0
GÓR
36%
26%
38%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MOT
2 - 0
POG
61%
21%
19%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
WAR
5 - 2
MOT
54%
24%
22%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Śląsk Wrocław
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
LPO
1 - 0
SLA
44%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SLA
2 - 2
GKS
55%
23%
22%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
POG
5 - 3
SLA
50%
25%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
SLA
1 - 1
WAR
43%
26%
31%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
SLA
1 - 1
KOR
46%
26%
28%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |