Motor Lublin vs Górnik Zabrze analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.5%
38.4%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
9
9º
17º
17º
8
9º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
19 | 56 |
1º
|
19.5% | |
|
2º
|
16 | 53 |
2º
|
8% | |
|
6º
|
13 | 52 |
3º
|
9% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 52 |
4º
|
7% | |
|
8º
|
12 | 52 |
5º
|
9% | |
|
4º
|
14 | 51 |
6º
|
3.5% | |
|
5º
|
14 | 48 |
7º
|
7% | |
|
3º
|
15 | 48 |
8º
|
10% | |
|
|
13º
|
8 | 47 |
9º
|
5.5% | |
|
11º
|
9 | 46 |
10º
|
9.5% | |
|
15º
|
8 | 45 |
11º
|
2% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 43 |
12º
|
5.5% | |
|
16º
|
6 | 43 |
13º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
8 | 42 |
14º
|
8.5% | |
|
17º
|
4 | 42 |
15º
|
8% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 42 |
16º
|
5% | |
|
|
10º
|
9 | 41 |
17º
|
9% | |
|
18º
|
4 | 39 |
18º
|
17.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 4% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
5.5% | 10.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
65.5% | 70.5% |
|
Relegation
|
29% | 15% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motor Lublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MOT
2 - 0
POG
61%
21%
19%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
WAR
5 - 2
MOT
54%
24%
22%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
MOT
0 - 0
PUS
45%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
GKS
0 - 0
MOT
50%
26%
25%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 1
KOR
41%
27%
32%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Górnik Zabrze
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2024 |
GÓR
4 - 2
PUS
52%
24%
24%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
GÓR
2 - 3
GDA
43%
25%
31%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
CRA
3 - 2
GÓR
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
GÓR
0 - 0
RAK
47%
26%
27%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
RAD
1 - 2
GÓR
39%
25%
36%
|
77 | 77 | 0 | 0 |