Motor Lublin vs Jarosław analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82.9%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.7%
5-0
4.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
6%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.7%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.3%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.2%
11.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
11.9%
5.1%
Win probability
0.54
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motor Lublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
CON
2 - 1
MOT
27%
21%
53%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2016 |
MOT
0 - 1
SOS
69%
18%
13%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2016 |
MOT
0 - 2
RES
75%
16%
9%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
LEW
0 - 5
MOT
10%
15%
75%
|
39 | 19 | 20 | +1 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
MOT
2 - 0
PRZ
86%
10%
4%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Jarosław
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
JAR
1 - 2
ASW
30%
25%
45%
|
27 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
CON
1 - 1
JAR
69%
18%
14%
|
26 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jul. 2016 |
JAR
2 - 3
ENE
11%
21%
69%
|
26 | 48 | 22 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2016 |
JAR
2 - 2
ASW
33%
24%
43%
|
25 | 30 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2016 |
OPR
0 - 4
JAR
11%
20%
69%
|
25 | 9 | 16 | 0 |