Motor Lublin vs Concordia Elblag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.8%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
22.2%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.9%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motor Lublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
POG
2 - 1
MOT
65%
20%
16%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MOT
1 - 3
SIA
38%
26%
37%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
WIG
2 - 1
MOT
52%
24%
25%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
MOT
3 - 1
GAR
51%
22%
27%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
STA
3 - 2
MOT
55%
24%
21%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Concordia Elblag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
CON
4 - 0
LIM
22%
25%
53%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
RAD
0 - 0
CON
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CON
0 - 0
SWI
26%
26%
49%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
STA
0 - 1
CON
66%
21%
13%
|
29 | 44 | 15 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CON
1 - 1
PEL
20%
26%
55%
|
27 | 45 | 18 | +2 |