Motor Lublin vs Concordia Elblag analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.1%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
20.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.7%
14.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motor Lublin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2012 |
RAD
3 - 0
MOT
43%
26%
31%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2012 |
MOT
4 - 2
ZNI
32%
28%
40%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | +2 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
UTA
1 - 4
MOT
35%
27%
38%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | +1 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
MOT
3 - 0
GAK
54%
24%
21%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
SIA
4 - 2
MOT
38%
26%
36%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | -2 |
Matches
Concordia Elblag
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CON
0 - 2
PUS
22%
25%
52%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
OLI
0 - 0
CON
63%
22%
15%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | +1 |
| 27 Oct. 2012 |
CON
2 - 1
STA
22%
24%
53%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
PEL
1 - 0
CON
63%
21%
15%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
CON
0 - 1
WIS
23%
25%
52%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -1 |