Motor Lubawa vs Ursus Warszawa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.2%
Win probability
0.55
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
2.5%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
7.9%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
20.8%
69%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.9%
0-2
15.6%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0%
-2
21.6%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
12.4%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Motor Lubawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2017 |
LOM
2 - 0
MLP
86%
10%
3%
|
11 | 29 | 18 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
MLP
0 - 4
LWA
7%
16%
77%
|
12 | 43 | 31 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2017 |
LTM
1 - 1
MLP
86%
11%
3%
|
11 | 40 | 29 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
MLP
0 - 3
CON
12%
18%
70%
|
12 | 25 | 13 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
WLO
2 - 0
MLP
88%
10%
2%
|
12 | 46 | 34 | 0 |
Matches
Ursus Warszawa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2017 |
UWA
0 - 1
SWI
36%
27%
37%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
1 - 1
UWA
47%
28%
25%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2017 |
UWA
1 - 2
SOK
49%
24%
27%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2017 |
DNM
2 - 0
UWA
69%
19%
12%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
UWA
0 - 1
MKS
75%
16%
10%
|
39 | 25 | 14 | 0 |