Série D Brazil Last 16
Global 3-2
Moto Club MA vs SD Juazeirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.4%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
23.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 1
MOT
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MOT
1 - 0
AGU
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
MOT
4 - 0
SAN
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 1
MOT
40%
26%
34%
|
47 | 44 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
TOC
1 - 1
MOT
12%
22%
66%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
SD Juazeirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
REC
1 - 3
SDJ
40%
25%
35%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
SDJ
2 - 1
REC
51%
25%
24%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
ICA
0 - 4
SDJ
20%
23%
57%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
SDJ
3 - 3
ALT
38%
26%
36%
|
44 | 47 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
MAR
0 - 1
SDJ
26%
25%
49%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |