Moto Club MA vs Santos AP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
16.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.3%
1-0
13.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.9%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
5.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 1
MOT
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2016 |
TOC
1 - 1
MOT
12%
22%
66%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
MOT
0 - 0
TOC
81%
14%
6%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | -1 |
| 19 Jun. 2016 |
MOT
2 - 0
AGU
51%
25%
24%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 0
MOT
16%
23%
62%
|
51 | 35 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Santos AP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2016 |
SAN
1 - 2
TOC
50%
24%
27%
|
31 | 31 | 0 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2016 |
SPM
0 - 0
SAN
29%
24%
47%
|
32 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
| 02 Jul. 2016 |
AGU
0 - 0
SAN
78%
15%
7%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Jun. 2016 |
ECM
0 - 2
SAN
43%
23%
33%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2016 |
SAN
2 - 3
AGU
17%
23%
60%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | 0 |