Maranhense Final
Global 1-4
Moto Club MA vs Sampaio Correa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.7%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11.6%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
60.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
0-1
13.1%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.8%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.1%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-23%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 0
MOT
76%
17%
7%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
MOT
3 - 2
JCA
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
JCA
1 - 1
MOT
27%
23%
50%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
PMA
2 - 0
MOT
23%
22%
55%
|
46 | 33 | 13 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
MOT
2 - 1
SAM
13%
21%
66%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Sampaio Correa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 0
MOT
76%
17%
7%
|
62 | 44 | 18 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 0
PMA
74%
16%
10%
|
62 | 40 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2021 |
PMA
0 - 0
SAM
10%
16%
74%
|
63 | 39 | 24 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 1
IAP
81%
13%
6%
|
63 | 28 | 35 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
CEA
3 - 0
SAM
74%
17%
9%
|
64 | 80 | 16 | -1 |