Copa do Brasil 1/32
Global 2-6
Moto Club MA vs Ponte Preta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.3%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.4%
66.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
15.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.3%
0-2
14.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.7%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
MOT
1 - 0
SAM
23%
25%
53%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
SAM
3 - 1
MOT
73%
17%
9%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
BOA
1 - 1
MOT
68%
21%
12%
|
45 | 61 | 16 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
SAM
0 - 0
MOT
76%
16%
8%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | +1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BAL
0 - 4
MOT
21%
22%
57%
|
44 | 24 | 20 | 0 |
Matches
Ponte Preta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
COR
1 - 0
PPE
70%
20%
10%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
CAP
3 - 0
PPE
22%
23%
55%
|
74 | 57 | 17 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
PPE
2 - 1
PEN
72%
19%
10%
|
74 | 58 | 16 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
PPE
3 - 0
VIL
85%
12%
3%
|
74 | 38 | 36 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
XVD
1 - 0
PPE
25%
25%
51%
|
75 | 59 | 16 | -1 |