Moto Club MA vs Guarany de Sobral analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.7%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
16%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
TOC
1 - 1
MOT
22%
24%
54%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2021 |
MOT
1 - 3
SAM
17%
23%
61%
|
44 | 63 | 19 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2021 |
SAM
1 - 0
MOT
76%
17%
7%
|
44 | 62 | 18 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2021 |
MOT
3 - 2
JCA
61%
21%
18%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
JCA
1 - 1
MOT
27%
23%
50%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Guarany de Sobral
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 0
PAR
36%
26%
38%
|
37 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 5
CSA
7%
19%
74%
|
38 | 68 | 30 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2021 |
ICA
2 - 2
GUA
51%
23%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2021 |
GUA
1 - 2
UNI
28%
26%
47%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2021 |
PAC
1 - 0
GUA
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | 0 |