Série D Brazil 1/16
Global 5-1
Moto Club MA vs Fluminense de Feira analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
54.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.6%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.7%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.7%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
FLU
0 - 2
MOT
48%
25%
27%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
MOT
1 - 0
ASS
73%
17%
10%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
SDS
3 - 2
MOT
20%
25%
55%
|
47 | 32 | 15 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ALT
0 - 0
MOT
47%
25%
29%
|
47 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2018 |
MOT
1 - 0
ALT
50%
24%
26%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Fluminense de Feira
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2018 |
FLU
0 - 2
MOT
48%
25%
27%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2018 |
FLU
1 - 1
CAM
37%
27%
36%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
FEC
0 - 4
FLU
22%
26%
52%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | +1 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
FLU
4 - 0
MUR
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 33 | 12 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2018 |
MUR
1 - 4
FLU
27%
26%
46%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |