Série D Brazil Eliminatorias 1/16
Global 3-3
Moto Club MA vs Fast Clube analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
15.9%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
MOT
1 - 0
BAR
84%
11%
5%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SIN
0 - 0
MOT
20%
25%
55%
|
45 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
MOT
2 - 1
ALT
49%
25%
27%
|
44 | 44 | 0 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
RIV
2 - 1
MOT
34%
27%
39%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
MOT
2 - 0
JCA
64%
20%
16%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fast Clube
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2020 |
FAS
1 - 1
GAL
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
RIO
0 - 2
FAS
55%
22%
23%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 Nov. 2020 |
FAS
2 - 1
BPA
34%
25%
41%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
IND
1 - 0
FAS
53%
23%
24%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
FAS
3 - 2
PAR
60%
21%
19%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | 0 |