Moto Club MA vs Bahía analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
9.8%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.3%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.9%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
2.6%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
7.5%
19%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19%
71.2%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.9%
0-3
10.1%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
13.6%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
MOT
1 - 5
MAR
23%
23%
54%
|
42 | 52 | 10 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2024 |
SAM
2 - 0
MOT
84%
12%
4%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2024 |
COR
0 - 0
MOT
29%
25%
46%
|
43 | 35 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2024 |
TEC
3 - 2
MOT
17%
20%
63%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
MOT
4 - 2
CFC
58%
21%
21%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Bahía
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2024 |
VIT
3 - 2
BAH
26%
26%
48%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
BAH
3 - 0
ARN
87%
10%
3%
|
85 | 57 | 28 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2024 |
RIV
1 - 0
BAH
10%
20%
70%
|
86 | 46 | 40 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2024 |
BAH
5 - 0
ITA
93%
6%
2%
|
85 | 58 | 27 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 2024 |
BAH
2 - 1
SPO
56%
23%
21%
|
85 | 84 | 1 | 0 |