Moto Club MA vs Chapecoense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
11.4%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.6%
4-2
0.1%
+2
2.2%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.5%
4-3
<0%
+1
8.7%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
8.9%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
67.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26.8%
0-2
14.8%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21%
0-3
9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.8%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.1%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
MOT
2 - 0
PMA
51%
22%
27%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2022 |
COR
1 - 2
MOT
21%
24%
56%
|
43 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
MOT
1 - 0
TEC
80%
13%
8%
|
43 | 14 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
JOS
1 - 1
MOT
50%
24%
26%
|
43 | 45 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2021 |
CRB
2 - 0
MOT
83%
13%
4%
|
43 | 72 | 29 | 0 |
Matches
Chapecoense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
HER
3 - 0
CHA
16%
24%
60%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 1
CAM
74%
18%
8%
|
69 | 50 | 19 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2022 |
CAC
0 - 1
CHA
15%
24%
62%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2022 |
CHA
1 - 0
FFL
58%
24%
19%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Feb. 2022 |
JEC
2 - 1
CHA
14%
23%
63%
|
69 | 49 | 20 | -1 |