Série D Brazil Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Moto Club MA vs Atlético Acreano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
24.7%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Moto Club MA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
SDJ
1 - 0
MOT
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
MOT
3 - 1
SDJ
52%
24%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
AGU
1 - 1
MOT
39%
26%
35%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | -1 |
| 31 Jul. 2016 |
MOT
1 - 0
AGU
54%
24%
23%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
MOT
4 - 0
SAN
80%
14%
6%
|
46 | 27 | 19 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Acreano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Aug. 2016 |
ATL
3 - 1
PRI
56%
22%
22%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2016 |
PRI
1 - 1
ATL
33%
25%
42%
|
43 | 38 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2016 |
ATL
8 - 0
NAU
77%
15%
8%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
NAU
1 - 5
ATL
22%
23%
55%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2016 |
TDC
0 - 1
ATL
14%
20%
66%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |